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By and large there are two classes of stock market investors who have the
greatest influence upon prices. They are the public and insiders. Both these
groups in general are having large number of investors/traders.
The public portion of the trading element is made up of all those individuals
throughout the entire world who buy and sell stocks in the market either for
investment or speculation but rather than in "unprofessional, casual and
emotional manner".
The insider portion of the trading element is made up of those individuals,
groups or associations who are professional at the task and who make the buying
and selling of stocks as a business or profession. The word "insider" is not
necessarily a bad element or unscrupulous element of the market. But one thing
need to be clarified that here the definition of the "Insider" is not taken in
purely negative manner. Insiders are welcome elements of the market. This
term should not be read in the context of the definition of "Insider" by "SEBI"
or any other Security commission. Its a general and vague term, and those
who holds vital information or those who get access to the price sensitive
information before general public does, are called as "Insiders". Many of the
times, it could happen that, few investors genuinely know something about the
company or a stock, by default, before the general public knows. In short
"Insider" element of the market is not bad and also difficult to get away from
the market, whether its India, USA or any other country.
There is no clear-cut dividing line
between the two groups. A man who works
for a Pharma company, innocently becomes insider while trading in other Pharma
company because he understand the "business model" of pharma companies. Likewise
stockiest or a Distributor of the FMCG company, by defaults becomes a
"insider" from theoretical point of view, as he knows the
demand/supply of the products of the company. But when the same Distributor trades in a
"Software" stock, he belongs to other category i.e. "Public".
It is not surprising to see why the insiders are generally more successful in
their market operations than the public. They are minority with respect to
numbers but they are much better organized and equipped than public. Their
potential funds employed in the market is probably a good deal but
relatively smaller than the entire funds employed by public. Yet their small
capital is hundred-fold more potent in its purpose because it is professionally
organized, it is well focused and managed and put to use by compact, individuals
with definite aim in view. The definite aim of these insiders is restricted to
raising or lowering the prices of one specific stock, a group of stocks or even
the entire market but it is definitely directed its principal goal of making a
profit for the insiders/group members. And this aim is achieved by acting in two
ways. The insiders must buy stocks from the public and sell them back to the
public at much higher prices or they sell stocks to the public and buy them back
at much lower prices.
If the insiders are able to do this with consistency then it stands fairly
apparent that the opposite element in the market, the public, is going to
lose the money that the insiders make through their "profitable and
professional" operations. In other words, the public is the "Goat". Many people
will not accept this but this is the naked truth, happening all over the world,
irrespective of its stocks, commodities or any other traded security.
The insider element look towards market from very
professional angle.
Because this is their livelihood, their income. They must make comfortable
margin of average profit to remain in the business. The unsuccessful insiders
therefore drop out, but the successful ones remain to make up the group which
takes its major living by buying and selling stocks to the public for a fairly
consistent profit. The insiders does not always make a profit. He makes mistakes
too, but they are in the minority. Another important aspect is that, public does
not always lose. So the statement that "when insiders gains, public loses"
is a wide and general one. There are many instances where both campaigns make
profit.
So, in short, "Insiders" always makes fantastic gains in the market by
trading or by investing in the stocks/market well before public knows the
potential upmove. And reap the harvest, selling the shares to public at very
high price. The same is true while selling the stock. Insiders sell quickly,
near to the top of the market, and buy the same stocks when "trapped" public sold
it at throughway prices. Insiders accumulate the stock, marks up and then
distribute them to the
"Public". The bears insiders distributes, marks down and then accumulates. The
former makes a profit by buying stocks from the public, advancing their market
price, and reselling them to the public. The latter profits by selling first to
the public and buying at cheaper rates from the public.
The public, of course, is by no means always the same set of individuals but
it is the same general class of individuals. Further we must understand
that "Insiders" are not dishonest or unfair in advancing or depressing the price
of their fevered stock. On the contrary, if the insider made its analysis
correctly the stock will move in the right direction largely of its own
fundamentals. Stock charts helps us to detect such professional operations and
to take "right" side of the market to trade/invest. "Technical
analysis" is the only tool which uncover the "insider" activity on any stock
(remember any stock) by studying the demand/supply , accumulation/distribution
patterns.
These "insiders" creates such a
environment (with the help of commercial media or market actions, volatile moves
in the price) where common investors are refrain to buy the stock in
bullish trend and "hooked" to buy the stock when the trend is bearish. In simple
terms, they creates a environment where investor are averse to buy the stock in
bullish trend and averse to sell in the bearish trend. For example, when tech
stocks just started their bearish trend in March 2000, the media and overall
market was very bullish about technology sector. The news flow was strongly
bullish, the headlines were bullish, almost all analyst were advising to buy
tech stocks for "long term", mutual funds were busy in floating "tech specific"
funds. In short the climate & the mood was strongly bullish but prices were
coming down slowly and steadily. In short, either investors were buying the tech
stock or refrain from selling. But at the same time these "insiders" were
distributing stocks at every opportunity. In fact, in case of many "Nasdaq"
listed companies, the promoters of these companies had performed major role in
"creating enough supply" of stocks in the market.
After 9/11, the situation has
turned completely opposite. Mood on the street was amazingly bearish (at least
no one was thinking bullish), market pundits were busy advising sell calls. But
"insiders" were grabbing the stocks literally at throw away prices. Tisco was
quoting at Rs.47, Infosys at Rs.553, Satyam at Rs.113, Ranbaxy at Rs.383 &
Sensex was 2600. Now check out the present rates, and find out whereabouts of
"Bin Laden" if you can.
Best example is the
week(07.04.03 to 11.04.03) in which "Infosys" crashed more than 40%. Remember
40% erosion in the value in just 5 trading sessions. All leading fund houses,
best of best analyst had sold the stock in that week because of the warning
given by the management of the company. Now check out the prices for that
period, the low made by the stock in that week i.e. Rs.605 is "the lowest close
for last 2 years and since that week stock prices has jumped more than 400%.
"Insiders" were made killing gains in that period by grabbing the stock by
taking advantage of "nervous mood" of the investors.
Become an insider:
There is a simple route to became a insider. Just be a insider itself. Or
Read the actions of insiders minutely. Observe what they are doing, what they
are buying/selling etc. Or became member of mystock. As technical analysis helps
the investors to overcome this lack of inside information, and one can easily
become an insider by knowing the strength of the market, directional trend of
stock, placement of bulls and bears in the battle field with the help of price
charts.. Study of chart reveals the strength or weakness in the stock, which
ultimately tells us who is more powerful, bear or bull. For e.g. after a frenzied bull run, "Public"
becomes active buyer and "Insider" are quietly offloading the stock. The
same is true when prices are falling consistently over the time, "Public"
elements starts selling their holding in panic and frustration, while
"Insiders" starts fresh accumulation. Technical analysis helps us to understand
from the price behaviors that whether it is a distribution (Selling by insiders)
or accumulation (Insider buying) happening in a particular stock or in a market.
Became insider. Join mystock.
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